Brandon Valenzuela

Toronto Blue Jays

Brandon Valenzuela’s 409 ft home run at Rogers Centre — out in 28 of 30 MLB ballparks

Brandon Valenzuela hit a 409-foot home run to centre field at Rogers Centre on September 27, 2026. It would have cleared the wall in 28 of MLB’s 30 ballparks.

Distance-only estimate. We compare projected distance with each park’s fence at the same spray angle. Wall height, trajectory and weather are not modelled. These comparisons are not official park factors. How Donged works.

Reds at Blue Jays (1–5), off Brandon Williamson.

  • 28/30Estimated parks cleared
  • 409 ftProjected distance
  • 101.7 mphExit velocity
  • 26.0°Launch angle
  • -4.7°Spray angle

Field view — Rogers Centre

Out here
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The ball landed 409 ft from the plate, centre field, where the wall is 392 ft. The outline is this park’s wall; the dashed line is the ball’s path over the ground.

Would it be out in every ballpark?

Each park’s outfield wall is sampled at seven spray angles and interpolated to this ball’s -4.7° angle, then compared against its 409-foot projected distance. On that basis it clears the wall in 28 of 30 parks and stays in play in the other 2.

The parks that hold it are the ones with a deeper wall at -5°, which is why the same swing is worth a different result depending on the address. Distance here is Statcast’s projected distance from the MLB Stats API — where the ball would have landed unobstructed. Wall height and the ball’s trajectory arc are not modelled, so a ball that clears on distance might still have hit high off a tall wall in a park that has one.

BallparkWall at this angleDistance estimate
LAD logoDodger Stadium389 ftHome run
LAA logoAngel Stadium390 ftHome run
CHC logoWrigley Field390 ftHome run
MIL logoAmerican Family Field391 ftHome run
TOR logoRogers Centre392 ftHome run
ATL logoTruist Park392 ftHome run
STL logoBusch Stadium392 ftHome run
PHI logoCitizens Bank Park393 ftHome run
CHW logoRate Field393 ftHome run
TB logoTropicana Field393 ftHome run
SEA logoT-Mobile Park394 ftHome run
CLE logoProgressive Field394 ftHome run
SD logoPetco Park394 ftHome run
ATH logoSutter Health Park394 ftHome run
WSH logoNationals Park394 ftHome run
SF logoOracle Park394 ftHome run
MIN logoTarget Field396 ftHome run
HOU logoDaikin Park396 ftHome run
PIT logoPNC Park396 ftHome run
TEX logoGlobe Life Field396 ftHome run
CIN logoGreat American Ball Park396 ftHome run
ARI logoChase Field397 ftHome run
NYM logoCiti Field399 ftHome run
MIA logoloanDepot Park400 ftHome run
BAL logoCamden Yards402 ftHome run
KC logoKauffman Stadium403 ftHome run
NYY logoYankee Stadium405 ftHome run
COL logoCoors Field407 ftHome run
BOS logoFenway Park411 ftStays in
DET logoComerica Park418 ftStays in

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