dongedMLB⚙
Francisco Alvarez

New York Mets

Francisco Alvarez’s 412 ft home run at Citi Field — out in 29 of 30 MLB ballparks

Francisco Alvarez hit a 412-foot home run to right field at Citi Field on September 4, 2026. It would have cleared the wall in 29 of MLB’s 30 ballparks.

Giants at Mets (6–9), off Matt Wilkinson.

  • 29/30Ballparks it clears
  • 412 ftProjected distance
  • 107.5 mphExit velocity
  • 24.0°Launch angle
  • 15.8°Spray angle

Field view — Citi Field

Out here
200300400

The ball landed 412 ft from the plate, right field, where the wall is 382 ft. The outline is this park’s wall; the dashed line is the ball’s path over the ground.

Would it be out in every ballpark?

Each park’s outfield wall is sampled at seven spray angles and interpolated to this ball’s 15.8° angle, then compared against its 412-foot projected distance. On that basis it clears the wall in 29 of 30 parks and stays in play in the other 1.

The parks that hold it are the ones with a deeper wall at 16°, which is why the same swing is worth a different result depending on the address. Distance here is Statcast’s projected distance from the MLB Stats API — where the ball would have landed unobstructed. Wall height and the ball’s trajectory arc are not modelled, so a ball that clears on distance might still have hit high off a tall wall in a park that has one.

BallparkWall at this angleResult
DET logoComerica Park364 ftHome run
MIN logoTarget Field366 ftHome run
ATH logoSutter Health Park366 ftHome run
CHC logoWrigley Field368 ftHome run
PHI logoCitizens Bank Park368 ftHome run
CIN logoGreat American Ball Park369 ftHome run
TB logoTropicana Field369 ftHome run
WSH logoNationals Park369 ftHome run
CHW logoRate Field371 ftHome run
BAL logoCamden Yards372 ftHome run
HOU logoDaikin Park372 ftHome run
TEX logoGlobe Life Field373 ftHome run
ARI logoChase Field373 ftHome run
MIL logoAmerican Family Field373 ftHome run
PIT logoPNC Park373 ftHome run
CLE logoProgressive Field374 ftHome run
ATL logoTruist Park374 ftHome run
STL logoBusch Stadium374 ftHome run
TOR logoRogers Centre374 ftHome run
LAD logoDodger Stadium374 ftHome run
COL logoCoors Field374 ftHome run
LAA logoAngel Stadium375 ftHome run
SEA logoT-Mobile Park380 ftHome run
BOS logoFenway Park380 ftHome run
NYM logoCiti Field382 ftHome run
NYY logoYankee Stadium383 ftHome run
KC logoKauffman Stadium386 ftHome run
SD logoPetco Park389 ftHome run
MIA logoloanDepot Park390 ftHome run
SF logoOracle Park418 ftStays in

More

donged — how many of MLB’s 30 ballparks would that home run have left the yard in? Distances are Statcast projected distance from the MLB Stats API, compared against each park’s outfield wall at the ball’s spray angle. Wall height and trajectory arc are not modelled.

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