Manny Machado

Manny Machado’s 407 ft home run at Dodger Stadium — out in 25 of 30 MLB ballparks

Manny Machado hit a 407-foot home run to centre field at Dodger Stadium on July 5, 2026. It would have cleared the wall in 25 of MLB’s 30 ballparks.

Distance-only estimate. We compare projected distance with each park’s fence at the same spray angle. Wall height, trajectory and weather are not modelled. These comparisons are not official park factors. How Donged works.

Padres at Dodgers (5–2), off Kyle Hurt.

  • 25/30Estimated parks cleared
  • 407 ftProjected distance
  • 102.0 mphExit velocity
  • 25.0°Launch angle
  • 1.2°Spray angle

Field view — Dodger Stadium

Out here
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The ball landed 407 ft from the plate, centre field, where the wall is 393 ft. The outline is this park’s wall; the dashed line is the ball’s path over the ground.

Would it be out in every ballpark?

Each park’s outfield wall is sampled at seven spray angles and interpolated to this ball’s 1.2° angle, then compared against its 407-foot projected distance. On that basis it clears the wall in 25 of 30 parks and stays in play in the other 5.

The parks that hold it are the ones with a deeper wall at 1°, which is why the same swing is worth a different result depending on the address. Distance here is Statcast’s projected distance from the MLB Stats API — where the ball would have landed unobstructed. Wall height and the ball’s trajectory arc are not modelled, so a ball that clears on distance might still have hit high off a tall wall in a park that has one.

BallparkWall at this angleDistance estimate
LAD logoDodger Stadium393 ftHome run
LAA logoAngel Stadium394 ftHome run
SD logoPetco Park396 ftHome run
PIT logoPNC Park397 ftHome run
CHC logoWrigley Field397 ftHome run
CHW logoRate Field398 ftHome run
MIL logoAmerican Family Field398 ftHome run
TOR logoRogers Centre398 ftHome run
ATL logoTruist Park398 ftHome run
STL logoBusch Stadium398 ftHome run
PHI logoCitizens Bank Park398 ftHome run
SEA logoT-Mobile Park399 ftHome run
WSH logoNationals Park399 ftHome run
ATH logoSutter Health Park400 ftHome run
SF logoOracle Park401 ftHome run
MIN logoTarget Field401 ftHome run
TB logoTropicana Field401 ftHome run
CIN logoGreat American Ball Park401 ftHome run
CLE logoProgressive Field403 ftHome run
TEX logoGlobe Life Field404 ftHome run
ARI logoChase Field404 ftHome run
MIA logoloanDepot Park406 ftHome run
NYM logoCiti Field406 ftHome run
HOU logoDaikin Park406 ftHome run
NYY logoYankee Stadium406 ftHome run
BAL logoCamden Yards407 ftStays in
KC logoKauffman Stadium408 ftStays in
COL logoCoors Field412 ftStays in
DET logoComerica Park416 ftStays in
BOS logoFenway Park417 ftStays in

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