Matt Chapman

Matt Chapman’s 405 ft home run at Oracle Park — out in 21 of 30 MLB ballparks

Matt Chapman hit a 405-foot home run to centre field at Oracle Park on June 14, 2026. It would have cleared the wall in 21 of MLB’s 30 ballparks.

Distance-only estimate. We compare projected distance with each park’s fence at the same spray angle. Wall height, trajectory and weather are not modelled. These comparisons are not official park factors. How Donged works.

Cubs at Giants (1–5), off Colin Rea.

  • 21/30Estimated parks cleared
  • 405 ftProjected distance
  • 106.8 mphExit velocity
  • 20.0°Launch angle
  • -1.0°Spray angle

Field view — Oracle Park

Out here
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The ball landed 405 ft from the plate, centre field, where the wall is 398 ft. The outline is this park’s wall; the dashed line is the ball’s path over the ground.

Would it be out in every ballpark?

Each park’s outfield wall is sampled at seven spray angles and interpolated to this ball’s -1.0° angle, then compared against its 405-foot projected distance. On that basis it clears the wall in 21 of 30 parks and stays in play in the other 9.

The parks that hold it are the ones with a deeper wall at -1°, which is why the same swing is worth a different result depending on the address. Distance here is Statcast’s projected distance from the MLB Stats API — where the ball would have landed unobstructed. Wall height and the ball’s trajectory arc are not modelled, so a ball that clears on distance might still have hit high off a tall wall in a park that has one.

BallparkWall at this angleDistance estimate
LAD logoDodger Stadium394 ftHome run
LAA logoAngel Stadium395 ftHome run
SD logoPetco Park396 ftHome run
CHC logoWrigley Field398 ftHome run
SF logoOracle Park398 ftHome run
MIL logoAmerican Family Field398 ftHome run
TOR logoRogers Centre398 ftHome run
ATL logoTruist Park398 ftHome run
STL logoBusch Stadium398 ftHome run
PIT logoPNC Park398 ftHome run
CHW logoRate Field399 ftHome run
PHI logoCitizens Bank Park399 ftHome run
SEA logoT-Mobile Park400 ftHome run
WSH logoNationals Park400 ftHome run
ATH logoSutter Health Park401 ftHome run
TB logoTropicana Field402 ftHome run
MIN logoTarget Field402 ftHome run
CIN logoGreat American Ball Park402 ftHome run
CLE logoProgressive Field403 ftHome run
TEX logoGlobe Life Field405 ftHome run
ARI logoChase Field405 ftHome run
MIA logoloanDepot Park406 ftStays in
HOU logoDaikin Park406 ftStays in
NYM logoCiti Field406 ftStays in
NYY logoYankee Stadium407 ftStays in
BAL logoCamden Yards408 ftStays in
KC logoKauffman Stadium409 ftStays in
COL logoCoors Field413 ftStays in
BOS logoFenway Park418 ftStays in
DET logoComerica Park420 ftStays in

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