Michael Busch

Michael Busch’s 401 ft home run at Wrigley Field — out in 25 of 30 MLB ballparks

Michael Busch hit a 401-foot home run to centre field at Wrigley Field on July 20, 2026. It would have cleared the wall in 25 of MLB’s 30 ballparks.

Distance-only estimate. We compare projected distance with each park’s fence at the same spray angle. Wall height, trajectory and weather are not modelled. These comparisons are not official park factors. How Donged works.

Tigers at Cubs (8–6), off Jack Flaherty.

  • 25/30Estimated parks cleared
  • 401 ftProjected distance
  • 98.3 mphExit velocity
  • 39.0°Launch angle
  • -5.3°Spray angle

Field view — Wrigley Field

Out here
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The ball landed 401 ft from the plate, centre field, where the wall is 389 ft. The outline is this park’s wall; the dashed line is the ball’s path over the ground.

Would it be out in every ballpark?

Each park’s outfield wall is sampled at seven spray angles and interpolated to this ball’s -5.3° angle, then compared against its 401-foot projected distance. On that basis it clears the wall in 25 of 30 parks and stays in play in the other 5.

The parks that hold it are the ones with a deeper wall at -5°, which is why the same swing is worth a different result depending on the address. Distance here is Statcast’s projected distance from the MLB Stats API — where the ball would have landed unobstructed. Wall height and the ball’s trajectory arc are not modelled, so a ball that clears on distance might still have hit high off a tall wall in a park that has one.

BallparkWall at this angleDistance estimate
LAD logoDodger Stadium388 ftHome run
CHC logoWrigley Field389 ftHome run
LAA logoAngel Stadium389 ftHome run
MIL logoAmerican Family Field390 ftHome run
TOR logoRogers Centre391 ftHome run
ATL logoTruist Park391 ftHome run
STL logoBusch Stadium391 ftHome run
PHI logoCitizens Bank Park392 ftHome run
CHW logoRate Field392 ftHome run
TB logoTropicana Field392 ftHome run
CLE logoProgressive Field393 ftHome run
SEA logoT-Mobile Park393 ftHome run
ATH logoSutter Health Park393 ftHome run
WSH logoNationals Park393 ftHome run
SF logoOracle Park394 ftHome run
HOU logoDaikin Park394 ftHome run
SD logoPetco Park394 ftHome run
MIN logoTarget Field395 ftHome run
TEX logoGlobe Life Field395 ftHome run
CIN logoGreat American Ball Park395 ftHome run
ARI logoChase Field395 ftHome run
PIT logoPNC Park396 ftHome run
NYM logoCiti Field398 ftHome run
MIA logoloanDepot Park400 ftHome run
BAL logoCamden Yards401 ftHome run
KC logoKauffman Stadium402 ftStays in
NYY logoYankee Stadium405 ftStays in
COL logoCoors Field406 ftStays in
BOS logoFenway Park409 ftStays in
DET logoComerica Park417 ftStays in

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