Patrick Bailey

Patrick Bailey’s 408 ft home run at Progressive Field — out in 24 of 30 MLB ballparks

Patrick Bailey hit a 408-foot home run to centre field at Progressive Field on July 20, 2026. It would have cleared the wall in 24 of MLB’s 30 ballparks.

Distance-only estimate. We compare projected distance with each park’s fence at the same spray angle. Wall height, trajectory and weather are not modelled. These comparisons are not official park factors. How Donged works.

Twins at Guardians (4–13), off Woo-Suk Go.

  • 24/30Estimated parks cleared
  • 408 ftProjected distance
  • 103.6 mphExit velocity
  • 30.0°Launch angle
  • -0.1°Spray angle

Field view — Progressive Field

Out here
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The ball landed 408 ft from the plate, centre field, where the wall is 405 ft. The outline is this park’s wall; the dashed line is the ball’s path over the ground.

Would it be out in every ballpark?

Each park’s outfield wall is sampled at seven spray angles and interpolated to this ball’s -0.1° angle, then compared against its 408-foot projected distance. On that basis it clears the wall in 24 of 30 parks and stays in play in the other 6.

The parks that hold it are the ones with a deeper wall at -0°, which is why the same swing is worth a different result depending on the address. Distance here is Statcast’s projected distance from the MLB Stats API — where the ball would have landed unobstructed. Wall height and the ball’s trajectory arc are not modelled, so a ball that clears on distance might still have hit high off a tall wall in a park that has one.

BallparkWall at this angleDistance estimate
LAD logoDodger Stadium395 ftHome run
LAA logoAngel Stadium396 ftHome run
SD logoPetco Park396 ftHome run
PIT logoPNC Park399 ftHome run
SF logoOracle Park399 ftHome run
TOR logoRogers Centre400 ftHome run
CHW logoRate Field400 ftHome run
ATL logoTruist Park400 ftHome run
CHC logoWrigley Field400 ftHome run
STL logoBusch Stadium400 ftHome run
MIL logoAmerican Family Field400 ftHome run
SEA logoT-Mobile Park401 ftHome run
PHI logoCitizens Bank Park401 ftHome run
WSH logoNationals Park402 ftHome run
ATH logoSutter Health Park403 ftHome run
TB logoTropicana Field404 ftHome run
MIN logoTarget Field404 ftHome run
CIN logoGreat American Ball Park404 ftHome run
CLE logoProgressive Field405 ftHome run
TEX logoGlobe Life Field407 ftHome run
ARI logoChase Field407 ftHome run
MIA logoloanDepot Park407 ftHome run
NYM logoCiti Field408 ftHome run
NYY logoYankee Stadium408 ftHome run
HOU logoDaikin Park409 ftStays in
BAL logoCamden Yards410 ftStays in
KC logoKauffman Stadium410 ftStays in
COL logoCoors Field415 ftStays in
BOS logoFenway Park420 ftStays in
DET logoComerica Park420 ftStays in

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